Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000106 0.000118 0.000130 0.000144 0.000159 0.000176 0.000196
2025-12-21 0.000090 0.000105 0.000123 0.000144 0.000170 0.000199 0.000235
2025-12-28 0.000077 0.000095 0.000116 0.000144 0.000177 0.000218 0.000272
2026-01-04 0.000069 0.000089 0.000113 0.000146 0.000188 0.000242 0.000317
2026-01-11 0.000062 0.000082 0.000109 0.000146 0.000197 0.000264 0.000360
2026-01-18 0.000055 0.000077 0.000105 0.000145 0.000203 0.000283 0.000401
2026-01-25 0.000050 0.000071 0.000101 0.000145 0.000209 0.000301 0.000443
2026-02-01 0.000046 0.000067 0.000098 0.000145 0.000216 0.000320 0.000488
2026-02-08 0.000042 0.000063 0.000094 0.000143 0.000219 0.000335 0.000527
2026-02-15 0.000039 0.000060 0.000091 0.000142 0.000224 0.000352 0.000571
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000142 0.000230 0.000371 0.000620
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000054 0.000086 0.000141 0.000234 0.000387 0.000664
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000052 0.000085 0.000143 0.000243 0.000413 0.000730
2026-03-15 0.000030 0.000050 0.000083 0.000143 0.000250 0.000436 0.000792
2026-03-22 0.000028 0.000048 0.000081 0.000142 0.000254 0.000454 0.000848
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000046 0.000080 0.000144 0.000264 0.000483 0.000926
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.000045 0.000079 0.000145 0.000271 0.000507 0.000997
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000077 0.000144 0.000276 0.000528 0.001064
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000041 0.000075 0.000144 0.000280 0.000548 0.001131
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000074 0.000144 0.000286 0.000571 0.001208
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000142 0.000287 0.000586 0.001267
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000141 0.000291 0.000605 0.001339
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000035 0.000069 0.000141 0.000297 0.000630 0.001425